الاستقرار الاقتصادي للدول مرهون بالسياسة المالية والسياسة النقدية السليمة

Economic Stability of World Countries is Dependent on Sound Fiscal and Monetary Policies

The fiscal and monetary policies are critical topics, which a layperson should be aware of and understand their significance, impacts, and objects, since such policies generally reflect on the individual’s day-to-day affairs including a feeling of price hikes, difficulty in obtaining a loan or imposition of new taxes, etc.

The implementation of fiscal and monetary policies by a state is intended to achieve economic stability, which means realizing a higher rate of economic growth in view of price stability and full utilization of resources and expenses.

Fiscal Policy

The fiscal policy basically refers to the utilization of regulation employed by the State, represented by the Ministry of Finance, in directing its economic programs. The fiscal policy tools include government spending and taxes.

An appropriate fiscal policy to control the inflation resulting from an increase in demand can be attained through increasing taxes, reducing government spending or both…

A tax increase may lead to decreasing the individuals’ purchasing power, which would result in reducing consumer spending; a component of overall expenditure. Therefore, a decrease in consumer spending will trigger a drop in overall expenditure, which would eliminate inflation in many cases, even if this occurs at different rates.

Furthermore, decreasing government spending leads to a decline in overall expenditure, which leads to shrinking the deflationary gap.

An appropriate fiscal policy to control recession (overall demand is lower than overall supply) can be attained through tax cuts, increasing government spending, or adopting both approaches at different rates.

The impact of government spending on income is greater than that of taxes on income. That is why GCC countries have recently been focusing on governmental spending.

Additionally, tax cuts result in increasing individuals’ purchasing power, which leads to increased consumer spending and, accordingly, increased overall expenditure that ultimately eliminates recession.

An increase in government spending will result in increasing overall expenditure and hence, shrinking the recession gap.

Monetary Policy

Monetary policy refers to a set of actions and measures taken by a central bank to influence the money supply and cost of funds in order to achieve economic policy goals.

Influence on money supply takes place by employing open market policy, i.e. buying and selling bonds with a view to reducing or increasing the money supply.

If a state aims to increase the quantity of money, it will purchase bonds from individuals, which would lead to increasing bond prices. Further, purchasing bonds from individuals will lead to increasing bank deposits and hence, increase the volume of lending extended to business people at a lower interest rate due to increased liquidity with commercial banks.

However, if a state aims to reduce the quantity of money, it will sell bonds from individuals, which would lead to increasing bond prices. Further, sales of bonds to individuals will lead to decreasing bank deposits, and hence, the interest rates will go up and the volume of lending will decline.

This policy is frequently employed by advanced countries such as the USA given the significant development of financial markets, which represents a prerequisite for the implementation of an open market policy (daily trading volume in the Wall Street Exchange is approximately USD 25 billion).

The most important monetary tools include the statutory reserve requirements, which are widely used in developing countries due to the absence of developed or weak financial markets.

If a state aims to expand the money supply, it will decrease the statutory reserve percentage, which would lead to increasing the capabilities of commercial banks to extend loans. However, if a state aims to reduce the money supply, it will increase the statutory reserve percentage, which would lead to limiting the commercial banks’ capabilities to extend loans.

To control economic downturn, a state will implement an expansionary monetary policy, which will expand the money supply, which will lead to decreasing interest rates, hence, promoting investments and ultimately increasing overall demand.

On the other hand, to control inflation, a state will implement a deflationary monetary policy in order to reduce the money supply, which will lead to increasing the interest rates that will entail a decline in investments, and hence, the overall demand will go down.

Which to adopt: fiscal policy or monetary policy?

Most countries use both policies concurrently to achieve economic stability and attain the desired economic goals even though fiscal policies have long-term impacts while monetary policies have quick short-term impacts.

Adoption of expansionary or deflationary fiscal policies will be dependent on the economic condition and if a state suffers recession or inflation.

If an economy encounters a recession condition, an expansionary fiscal policy will be adopted, where the state will increase government spending or reduce taxes in order to increase the overall expenditure. At the same time, an expansionary monetary policy will be implemented, which will lead to lowering interest rates, resulting in increased investments and higher overall demand.

However, if an economy encounters an inflation condition, a deflationary fiscal policy will be adopted, where the state will decrease governmental spending or increase taxes in order to decrease the overall expenditure. At the same time, a deflationary monetary policy will be implemented, which will lead to increasing interest rates, resulting in a decline in investments and lower overall demand.

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BTK Editorial Team

Baker Tilly Kuwait's editorial team comprises seasoned financial experts and industry analysts with a wealth of expertise and accredited certifications in areas such as CIA, CIPA, and CPA, dedicated to delivering in-depth analysis and expert insights across a wide spectrum of finance-related topics & latest market updates.

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